Friday, May 14, 2010

On Jose Reyes' Position in the Batting Order

Relax, everyone. The fact of the matter is that Jose hits just as well in any position in the batting order, and where he bats is going to be irrelevant.

Jose's career numbers while leading off innings as compared to any other time:

- As first batter of the game, he has hit 300/335/439 for his career with 774 OPS
- As first batter of any particular inning, he has hit 293/334/436 for a 770 OPS
- In his career overall, he has hit 284/335/429 for an OPS of 764

He just stinks right now. This season he's hitting 221/275/298 overall but only 205/292/205 leading off any particular inning. He hit only 091/091/091 leading off the game this year.

Generally speaking, Reyes is a great player. In fact, he's about as close to a clutch hitter as we have - something I noticed years ago before I took the moniker of "Jose Reyes, RBI Machine" on the old Reyes has been incredibly clutch. For his career he has hit 286/363/462 with runners in scoring position for an 824 OPS, 16% above his career average. With two outs and RISP, those numbers shoot up to 270/375/493! That's an OPS of 868.

Moving him around isn't gonna change anything. He doesn't have his rhythm back and he's pressing. He'd do the same thing as a leadoff man. I might even prefer him as a leadoff man. These numbers are just to demonstrate how silly the debate has been. Jose would make a fine #3 hitter in this lineup if he was right... the key is to now have him fixed.

1 comment:

Ari Berkowitz said...

I have two issues with Reyes batting 3rd. The first is that he's not hitting at all and it might be because Manuel psyched him out by batting him third and later making him bunt the runners over. He might fill discomfort or having to change his approach at the plate, hence the expanded strike zone.

But the more important issue is that the Mets best hitter, David Wright, is batting 5th instead of 3rd. According to a study done by BPro, moving down two spots in the lineup causes a loss of 36 PA over the course of the season. Between Wright losing 36, Reyes losing 36, Pagan getting an extra 72 (being that he should be the Mets fifth or sixth place hitter in an optimal lineup) and Castillo/Cora getting an extra 108 PA over the course of the season that equates to lots of runs and for the current Beltran-less Mets, those are runs they can't afford to sacrifice (even if Jerry loves to sacrifice).